KalshiOpen

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 213-217 seats in the 120th Congress?

No92%
213-2178%

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24h volume$11.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party has between 213-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 193-197 seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi86% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 198-202 seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi84% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 223-227 seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi98% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 228-232 seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi98% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress? Below 193Kalshi71% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 233-237 seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 218-222 seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi96% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 203-207 seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi86% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 237 seats in the 120th Congress? Above 237Kalshi97% NoOpen
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?: Will the Republican Party win 208-212 seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi89% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:49 PM UTC