KalshiOpen

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 600 and 649 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?

No98%
Between 600 and 6492%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesFeb 3, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the President signs between 600 and 649 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. An Executive Order must be formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, signed by the President, and published in the Federal Register. Presidential Memoranda, Proclamations, Determinations, and other executive actions that are not formally numbered Executive Orders do not count. The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to, using ET timezone. Classified Executive Orders count if acknowledged by number. Executive Orders that are later revoked still count for the period they were signed. The Federal Register is the primary source; alternative sources are used only if the Federal Register explicitly states data is incomplete.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign more than 800 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029? Above 800Kalshi99% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 650 and 699 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi96% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 700 and 749 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi96% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 750 and 800 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi99% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 450 and 499 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi85% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 500 and 549 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi91% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 400 and 449 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi81% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 550 and 599 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi94% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign fewer than 300 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029? Below 300Kalshi95% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 300 and 349 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi94% NoOpen
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Will the President sign between 350 and 399 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Kalshi86% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:19 PM UTC