KalshiOpen

Fed decision in Mar 2027?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their March 2027 meeting? Hike >25bps

No98%
Hike >25bps2%

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24h volume$731
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesMar 17, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.

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As of Sep 29, 09:32 PM UTC