KalshiOpen

Fed decision in Jul 2027?: Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting? Cut 25bps

No92%
Cut 25bps8%

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24h volume$872.2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJul 28, 2027in 10 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.

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As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC