KalshiOpen
Sep 2026 temperature increase? 1.30001 or above
1.30001 or above84%
No16%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$55.7
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 17, 2026in 18 days
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 temperature increase? 1.24 to 1.30 | Kalshi | 81% No | Open |
| Sep 2026 temperature increase? 1.17 to 1.23 | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Sep 2026 temperature increase? 1.04 to 1.09 | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Sep 2026 temperature increase? 1.02999 or below | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Sep 2026 temperature increase? 1.10 to 1.16 | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteHolders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 11:19 PM UTC