KalshiOpen

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?: Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026? Above 6

No97%
Above 63%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 2, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC