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Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?: Will Spain announce the enactment of a law that bans bullfighting (‘corridas de toros’) nationwide. before Jan 1, 2027? Yes

No95%
Yes5%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread6%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 26Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Spain has agreed to or announced the enactment of a law that bans bullfighting (‘corridas de toros’) nationwide. before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies. Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify. Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify. Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.

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As of Oct 2, 02:01 PM UTC