KalshiOpen

Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026? Before Nov 3, 2026

No96%
Before Nov 3, 20264%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House has resigned or otherwise left their leadership office after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House will leave the position also resolves to Yes. If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House leaves office solely because they have passed away, that outcome does not resolve to Yes.

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As of Sep 30, 03:27 AM UTC