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Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026? Before Nov 3, 2026
No96%
Before Nov 3, 20264%
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7d volume—
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Spread2%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House has resigned or otherwise left their leadership office after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House will leave the position also resolves to Yes. If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House leaves office solely because they have passed away, that outcome does not resolve to Yes.
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As of Sep 30, 03:27 AM UTC