KalshiOpen

Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Michelle Bachelet

No92%
Michelle Bachelet8%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 5, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Michelle Bachelet is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Rafael GrossiKalshi92% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Amina J. MohammedKalshi97% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Carolyn Rodrigues-BirkettKalshi83% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Olara OtunnuKalshi90% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Macky SallKalshi87% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Gianni InfantinoKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Maria Fernanda Espinosa GarcésKalshi96% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Rebeca GrynspanKalshi59% Rebeca GrynspanOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Alicia BárcenaKalshi99% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Mia MottleyKalshi96% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Ivonne A-BakiKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Nickolay MladenovKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Lana NusseibehKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? Sigrid KaagKalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC