KalshiOpen

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?: Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?

No97%

Thomas Massie3%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:46 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

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Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Thomas Massie leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Massie changes their official party registration from Republican to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Republican party, or is expelled from the Republican party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?: Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?	Kalshi	90% No	$287	—	—	Open
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?: Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?	Kalshi	97% No	$13	—	—	Open
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?: Will Don Bacon leave the Republican?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?: Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC