KalshiOpen

Will a Congressional stock trading ban become law by December 31, 2026? Before 2027

No97%
Before 20273%

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24h volume$185.9
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 21, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 26Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a Congressional stock trading ban becomes law between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A Congressional stock trading ban can still allow members of Congress to place their stocks in a blind trust or to invest in "diversified assets" (e.g. ETFs) and still resolve to Yes. Please refer to the full rules for examples.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will a Congressional stock trading ban become law by January 20, 2029? Before Jan 21, 2029Kalshi68% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 03:10 PM UTC