KalshiOpen

Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume before 2027?

No92%
Before 20278%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a U.S. airline begins offering a direct flight to Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Announcements that it will begin offering direct flights within the year is also encompassed.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 04:38 AM UTC