KalshiOpen

Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027? Before 2027

No94%
Before 20276%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a bill that eliminates capital gains taxes for at least some digital assets becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The law must explicitly eliminate or permanently repeal the capital gains tax liability for at least one clearly defined class or category of digital assets. “Digital assets” are defined as assets existing solely in digital form and recorded on a digital ledger (including, but not limited to, cryptocurrencies, tokens, and non-fungible tokens). Temporary, partial, or conditional eliminations (e.g., tax relief with an expiration date or reductions rather than full elimination) shall not be considered as meeting this criterion.

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As of Sep 30, 12:18 AM UTC