KalshiOpen

Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Lady Gaga have a #1 hit this year?

No87%

Lady Gaga13%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:05 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread6%

ResolvesDec 26, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Lady Gaga has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Billie Eilish have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	87% No	$264.9	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Sia have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$164.7	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Linkin Park have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$100	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will J Balvin have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	97% No	$75	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will KATSEYE have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	92% No	$58.7	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will EsDeeKid have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$50	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Geese have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$50	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Shawn Mendes have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	98% No	$50	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Ozuna have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	98% No	$50	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Logic have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$50	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Trippie Redd have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$49	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Doechii have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	96% No	$45	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Chappell Roan have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	92% No	$27	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will KAROL G have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	88% No	$25.5	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Clairo have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	94% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Lil Yachty have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Tyla have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	98% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Swae Lee have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Sam Smith have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Megan Thee Stallion have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	94% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Lana Del Rey have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	96% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Khalid have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	98% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Kali Uchis have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Fred again.. have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	98% No	$25	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 09:24 PM UTC