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KalshiOpen

Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will sombr have a #1 hit this year?

No92%
sombr8%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesDec 26, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If sombr has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi79% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Megan Thee Stallion have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will KAROL G have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Frank Ocean have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi69% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Luke Combs have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will The Weeknd have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Beyoncé have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi74% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will SZA have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Zara Larsson have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will SIENNA SPIRO have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Rihanna have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Offset have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will The Marías have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Lana Del Rey have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Jason Derulo have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Eminem have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Coldplay have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Benson Boone have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Anuel AA have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Lil Baby have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Bebe Rexha have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will 2 Chainz have a #1 hit this year?Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Sep 30, 09:04 PM UTC