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Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Pope Leo XIV visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

No91%

Pope Leo XIV9%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:14 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Pope Leo XIV visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn. The announcement must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 and so must the actual visit.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Marjorie Taylor Greene visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	98% No	$200	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	74% No	$100	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Reza Pahlavi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	93% No	$47.1	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Claudia Sheinbaum visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	74% No	$27.1	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Abiy Ahmed visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	89% No	$20	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	52% Mark Carney	$1.9	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Cristiano Ronaldo visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	92% No	$0.1	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Lionel Messi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Jaxson Dart visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	80% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	75% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Anutin Charnvirakul visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Bola Ahmed Tinubu visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Hun Manet visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	60% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	100% Xi Jinping	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Vladimir Putin visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Barack Obama visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	100% Elon Musk	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Eric Adams visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Jerome Powell visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Gavin Newsom visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Joe Biden visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Hakeem Jeffries visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	64% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will visit the White House in 2026?: Will Bill Maher visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	84% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC