KalshiOpen

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?: Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026? Rating reduced

No95%

Rating reduced5%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:51 PM UTC

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24h volume$397.7

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 11:08 PM UTC