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Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?: Will Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?

No99%
Netflix1%

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24h volume$342
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest (>50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived. Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify. Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria. If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes. The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.

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As of Sep 30, 02:40 AM UTC