KalshiOpen

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold 46 seats in the 120th Congress?

No98%

462%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:33 PM UTC

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24h volume$2.3K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread0%

ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress? Above 52	Kalshi	64% No	$10.2K	—	—	Open
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	84% No	$3.1K	—	—	Open
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold 47 seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	97% No	$489.9	—	—	Open
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	85% No	$211.2	—	—	Open
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120th Congress? Below 45	Kalshi	97% No	$204.5	—	—	Open
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold 50 seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	88% No	$123.5	—	—	Open
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold 49 seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	91% No	$37.3	—	—	Open
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold 48 seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	94% No	$35.8	—	—	Open
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic Party hold 45 seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	99% No	$7	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC