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Will the DOJ claim in federal court that any of President Biden's pardons are void? Before 2027

No94%
Before 20276%

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24h volume$5.9
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If an official filing or statement made during oral argument in a federal court proceeding (e.g. briefs, motions, memoranda, or arguments made before the court on the record) contain a statement by the Department of Justice that a pardon issued by President Joe Biden is invalid (or “void”, “unenforceable”, or equivalent) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 11:49 PM UTC