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Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?: What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026? Detroit

No86%
Detroit14%

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ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Resolution rules

If the National Guard is deployed to Detroit after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Deployment means National Guard members arrive in Detroit on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Detroit, not merely assigned or in transit. The following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**: - Governor activates Guard with deployment to Detroit - Guard units arrive in Detroit on emergency orders - Federal activation placing Guard in Detroit - Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Detroit - Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Detroit - Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed The following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**: - Deployment announcements without actual arrival - Guard placed on standby/alert status only - Units staged outside Detroit without entering - Training exercises or routine drills - Guard members traveling through Detroit to another destination - Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment - Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians - Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders - Recruitment or community relations activities - Canceled deployments that never materialize Special provisions: - At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Detroit. - Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training. - If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO. - Presence for transit only doesn't count. - Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Detroit counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders. - Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count. - Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.

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As of Sep 29, 10:26 PM UTC