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Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?: Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass? In 2026

No72%
In 202628%

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24h volume$18K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

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As of Sep 29, 10:26 PM UTC