KalshiOpen

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120th Congress?

No96%
214-2174%

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7d volume—
30d volume—
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ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi86% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 242-245 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi90% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi97% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 226-229 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi91% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 238-241 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi87% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 246-249 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi92% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi86% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 218-221 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi94% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 222-225 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi92% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi96% NoOpen
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?: Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?Kalshi85% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC