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Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor general election election in the first round?

Lieutenant Governor90%
No10%

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24h volume$0
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30d volume—
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Spread4%
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (over 50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them. The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia State School Superintendent general election election in the first round? State Superintendent of SchoolsKalshi87% State Superintendent of SchoolsOpen
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State general election election in the first round?Kalshi90% Secretary of StateOpen
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia United States Senate general election election in the first round?Kalshi90% SenateOpen
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial general election election in the first round? GovernorKalshi90% GovernorOpen
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Agriculture general election election in the first round?Kalshi90% Commissioner of AgricultureOpen
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Labor general election election in the first round?Kalshi88% Commissioner of LaborOpen
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Insurance general election election in the first round?Kalshi88% Commissioner of InsuranceOpen
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?: Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General general election election in the first round?Kalshi90% Attorney GeneralOpen

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As of Sep 29, 09:33 PM UTC