KalshiOpen

When will xAI release Grok 5?: Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027? Before 2027

No55%

Before 202745%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:55 PM UTC

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24h volume$40

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
When will xAI release Grok 5?: Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026? Before December	Kalshi	86% No	$79	—	—	Open
When will xAI release Grok 5?: Will xAI release Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026? Before October	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
When will xAI release Grok 5?: Will xAI release Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026? Before November	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC