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Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?: Will Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027? Before 2027

No95%
Before 20275%

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24h volume$18.8
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Meta releases Llama 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC