KalshiOpen

AI capability growth this year?: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 At least 1550 score

No86%

At least 1550 score14%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:55 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 2, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
AI capability growth this year?: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027 At least 1520 score	Kalshi	67% At least 1520 score	$1.6K	—	—	Open
AI capability growth this year?: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1530 before Jan 1, 2027 At least 1530 score	Kalshi	66% No	$92.7	—	—	Open
AI capability growth this year?: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027 At least 1540 score	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
AI capability growth this year?: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 At least 1750 score	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
AI capability growth this year?: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 At least 1650 score	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
AI capability growth this year?: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 At least 1700 score	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
AI capability growth this year?: Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 At least 1600 score	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:30 PM UTC