KalshiOpen

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?: Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?

No98%

In 20262%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:33 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.3K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included. The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

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As of Sep 29, 07:21 PM UTC