KalshiOpen

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 3 times at emergency meetings? 3 cuts

No99%

3 cuts1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:45 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 3 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes. To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 1 times at emergency meetings? 1 cuts	Kalshi	96% No	$29.3	—	—	Open
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 4 times at emergency meetings? 4 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings? 2 cuts	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings? 0 cuts	Kalshi	97% 0 cuts	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:00 PM UTC