Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027? Before 2027
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029? Before 2029 | Kalshi | 89% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030? Before 2030 | Kalshi | 79% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028? Before 2028 | Kalshi | 89% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC