KalshiOpen

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?: Will Greenland vote for independence before 2027?

No94%

Before 20276%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:08 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes. A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.

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As of Sep 30, 12:28 AM UTC