Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? Before Dec 18, 2026

No90%
Before Dec 18, 202610%

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24h volume$369.4
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesDec 18, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Avengers: Doomsday's release is delayed past December 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Disney. Any references to Disney or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Disney and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in evidentiary criteria: Polymarket relies on an official announcement (with credible reporting potentially used), whereas Kalshi’s published criterion refers to the release being delayed and provides no source. Their settlement timestamps also differ, but both concern the same release-date delay question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? Before Dec 18, 2026

    If Avengers: Doomsday's release is delayed past December 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Disney. Any references to Disney or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Disney and Kalshi.

    read Sep 29, 09:28 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?

    Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

    31 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 12:36 AM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 05:20 AM UTC