Brazil Presidential election winner?: Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No100%
Ronaldo Caiado0%

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ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 24 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ronaldo Caiado has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. PredictFun specifies inclusion of a potential second round, credible-reporting/TSE resolution, and an “Other” fallback if unresolved by June 30, 2027. Kalshi lists a settlement time of October 25, 2026, but provides no conflicting resolution criteria.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

    read Sep 30, 05:01 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Brazil Presidential election winner?: Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    If Ronaldo Caiado has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Sep 30, 09:58 AM UTC

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As of Oct 1, 02:59 AM UTC