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How many government employees will Trump cut?: Will there be more than 300000 government employees cut before Jan 2027? More than 300,000

No92%
More than 300,0008%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesMar 4, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If there are more than 300000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.

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As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC