KalshiOpen

Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions become law before Jan 1, 2027? Credit-card routing competition

No91%
Credit-card routing competition9%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify. Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules become law before Jan 1, 2027? College sports federalizationKalshi50% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants become law before Jan 1, 2027? Dignity ActKalshi89% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that limits out-of-pocket costs for insulin for privately insured patients to no more than $40 per month, per 30-day supply, or equivalent monthly period become law before Jan 1, 2027? Insulin cost capKalshi90% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems become law before Jan 1, 2027? SELF DRIVE ActKalshi99% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that imposes enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) become law before Jan 1, 2027? Railway safety billKalshi87% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks become law before Jan 1, 2027? Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictionsKalshi65% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump become law before Jan 1, 2027? Trump AirportKalshi97% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% become law before Jan 1, 2027? E15 year-round salesKalshi95% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that amends the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008 by modifying the statutory definition of “food” (eligible for purchase with SNAP benefits) to specifically include “hot rotisserie chicken” become law before Jan 1, 2027? Hot Rotisserie Chicken ActKalshi84% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027? Data center utility cost protectionKalshi84% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that establishes a federal intellectual-property right protecting individuals’ voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas become law before Jan 1, 2027? NO FAKES ActKalshi84% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that changes the official name of Fort Bragg, North Carolina, to Fort Liberty become law before Jan 1, 2027? Fort Bragg → Fort LibertyKalshi90% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent become law before Jan 1, 2027? ADS-B revenue-use restrictionKalshi70% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency become law before Jan 1, 2027? Jewish American securityKalshi93% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund become law before Jan 1, 2027? Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund feeKalshi88% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom become law before Jan 1, 2027? White House ballroom fundingKalshi92% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees become law before Jan 1, 2027? Trump's Birthday as a federal holidayKalshi100% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology become law before Jan 1, 2027? ROTOR ActKalshi94% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that would require Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary become law before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes become law before Jan 1, 2027? DEFIANCE ActKalshi96% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027? Smithsonian Women’s History MuseumKalshi96% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years become law before Jan 1, 2027? FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)Kalshi92% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027? Critical-minerals stockpileKalshi91% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems become law before Jan 1, 2027? SHOWER ActKalshi99% NoOpen
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027? Export-control chip securityKalshi76% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 09:32 PM UTC