Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? Vitinha

No99%
Vitinha1%

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24h volume$133.7
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Vitinha wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and PredictFun specify France Football as the primary source and provide an 'Other' outcome if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026; Kalshi's published criteria do not specify these details. Kalshi lists a January 1, 2027 15:00 UTC resolution time, while Polymarket lists January 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; PredictFun provides no resolution time.
  • Kalshithis market

    Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? Vitinha

    If Vitinha wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 10:41 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    219 holders · 1K comments · read Sep 22, 12:06 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    read Sep 30, 01:37 AM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 01:38 AM UTC