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Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?: Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Polio vaccine?

No96%
Polio4%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the Polio vaccine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Merely reducing the categories of persons that it recommends the vaccine for, without reducing those categories to zero, is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

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As of Sep 30, 10:51 PM UTC