KalshiOpen

Will E-Verify be expanded before 2027?

No65%
Before 202735%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If E-Verify has been expanded to be required for more workers before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To satisfy the Payout Criterion, the federal government must, through executive action or because of a bill that has become law, mandate that an employer who is not a governmental entity, federal contractor, or vendor use E-Verify to verify the immigration status of at least one employee who is not a federal employee or a graduate who is eligible for Optional Practical Training authorization granted by U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. This may include a requirement that the employer use E-Verify or be subject to some penalty.

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As of Oct 2, 04:03 AM UTC