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Quebec National Assembly election winner?: Will PQ win the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election?

PQ91%
No9%

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24h volume$31.6
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 12, 2026in 13 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the PQ wins the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

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As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC