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Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?: Will the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives before the 2026 midterms?

No98%
Republican Party3%

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24h volume$132.1
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 30, 03:28 AM UTC