KalshiOpen

Deportations in 2026?: Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026? Above 200,000

Above 200,000100%
No0%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 13Aug 25Sep 6Sep 18Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of ICE removals is above 200,000 in FY2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve once complete data is available for FY2026.

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As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC