KalshiOpen

How many government shutdowns in 2026?: Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 5 in 2026?

No94%
57%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Link to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.

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As of Sep 30, 11:52 AM UTC