KalshiOpen

Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $125‎ billion?

Above $125‎ billion90%

No10%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:01 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread6%

ResolvesOct 1, 2027next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If US tariff revenue for 2026 is above $125‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FRED is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 7.2(b).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $80‎ billion?	Kalshi	90% Above $80‎ billion	$0	—	—	Open
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $200‎ billion?	Kalshi	65% Above $200‎ billion	$0	—	—	Open
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $150‎ billion?	Kalshi	80% Above $150‎ billion	$0	—	—	Open
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $250‎ billion?	Kalshi	60% Above $250‎ billion	$0	—	—	Open
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100‎ billion?	Kalshi	96% Above $100‎ billion	$0	—	—	Open
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $300‎ billion?	Kalshi	66% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC