KalshiOpen

Pennsylvania State Senate winner?: Who will win the 2026 Pennsylvania State Senate election? Democratic party

Democratic party95%
No5%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread7%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 Pennsylvania State Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve based on total chamber control of the Pennsylvania State Senate, incorporating all 50 seats. In the event of a 25-25 seat tie, the party of the sitting Lieutenant Governor, who serves as President of the Senate with tie-breaking authority, will resolve to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Pennsylvania State Senate winner?: Who will win the 2026 Pennsylvania State Senate election? Republican partyKalshi89% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:28 PM UTC