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Government spending increase in 2026: Will government spending increase by 100000000000 before 2027? At least $100 billion

At least $100 billion90%
No10%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If government spending increases by at least $100 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.

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As of Sep 29, 08:28 PM UTC