KalshiOpen

US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be above 170‎ billion?

Above 170‎ billion91%

No9%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:30 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread8%

ResolvesMay 29, 2027in 8 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If US trade deficit for 2026 is above 170‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6‎ billion and 119.9‎ billion? 119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 95‎ billion and 104.9‎ billion? 95‎ billion to 104.9‎ billion	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be below 45‎ billion?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion? 75‎ billion to 84.9‎ billion	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion? 65‎ billion to 74.9‎ billion	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion? 45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion? 55‎ billion to 64.9‎ billion	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion? 85‎ billion to 94.9‎ billion	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion? 140‎ billion to 170‎ billion	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion? 105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
US trade deficit for 2026?: Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 120‎ billion and 139.9‎ billion? 120‎ billion to 139.9‎ billion	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 08:32 PM UTC