KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?: More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? Yes

Yes95%

No5%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:05 PM UTC

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24h volume$4.3K

7d volume—

30d volume—

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Spread0%

ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025. The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified. If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly. Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Both resolve at 2027-03-01 15:00 UTC under the same threshold and reimbursement rule. Limitless explicitly mentions FRED for outcome verification, while Kalshi does not specify a source.

Kalshithis market
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?: More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? Yes
If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025. The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified. If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly. Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement.
read Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC
LimitlessOpen →
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025. The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified. If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly. Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement. Outcome verified from FRED .
0 holders · read Sep 29, 07:53 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC