KalshiOpen

State of the economy at the end of 2026? Soft landing

No67%

Soft landing33%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC

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24h volume$34.7

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 13, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
State of the economy at the end of 2026? Stagflation	Kalshi	96% No	$14.3	—	—	Open
State of the economy at the end of 2026? Overheating	Kalshi	68% Overheating	$3.3	—	—	Open
State of the economy at the end of 2026? Slack / disinflation	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:55 PM UTC