KalshiOpen

LA-04 Republican nominee?: Will Mike Johnson be the Republican nominee for LA-04?

No87%

Mike Johnson13%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:05 PM UTC

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24h volume$25.7

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If Mike Johnson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
LA-04 Republican nominee?: Will Mike Nichols be the Republican nominee for LA-04?	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
LA-04 Republican nominee?: Will Josh Morott be the Republican nominee for LA-04?	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC