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One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech?: Will any tech company announce One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027? Before 2027

No72%
Before 202728%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity. For the purpose of this market, "any tech company" must be a publicly listed company on a recognized national securities exchange whose primary business is technology.

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As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC